Friday, October 14, 2011

Just Win Baby!


Last week was definitely a week to forget and habit I don't want to get into. I guess I'll have to blame it on my drive to beat my aunt in last week's pick-ems. This week, I've got ice water flowing strong and plan to not even come close to another 7-6 record (45-32 overall). I'm feeling double digits in the win column this week.

CAR @ ATL - CAR. After going to the NFC Championship game last year, it's a little disheartening to see the Falcons sporting a 2-3 record. The good news is they aren't in last place in their division. Instead, their opponent this week is, but not for long. With Jones (WR2) out for the Falcons, it will be up to Matty Ice to find a way to get into the endzone with sole receiver Roddy White. Meanwhile, Atlanta has some injuries on the defensive side which isn't good especially with the newly elusive Cam Newton behind center.

IND @ CIN - CIN. I think it's time to jump on the Andy Dalton train. It's a little train, but it does exist, all 1000+ yards of it. For a team that had it's quarterback abandon them at the beginning of the season, a 3-2 record is phenomenal at this point. With a struggling Colts team, I'd expect the Bengals to take advantage of their pain.

JAC @ PIT - PIT. Oh hi Pittsburgh, didn't know you had a quarterback behind center. Nice to see that your preseason is over and you can start putting up Super Bowl numbers. After completing a 180* Big Ben finally had a breakout game. For Pittsburgh's sake, let's hope those stats continue. They might actually surpass Cincinnati in the standings.

BUF @ NYG - NYG. There's something about putting pressure on Fitzpatrick that's got me taking the Giants in this one. I know many people thought the Giants failed to even show up last week against Seattle, but I have a feeling that won't be the same case this week against a productive Buffalo team. The pass rush should put enough pressure on Fitzpatrick to startle him while Eli should get tons of time with practically no pressure from the Bills defense. With three receivers like Cruz, Hicks, and Manningham... all Eli needs is a little time for these three to get open.

SF @ DET - DET. Can Detroit go 6-0? After impressive wins over Dallas and Chicago lately, I'd say grabbing win number six against San Francisco is pretty plausible. Stafford is playing out of his mind and Megatron seems to have no off button. They got some huge help from Jahvid Best last week, so that should help free up the already productive passing game if he can do some damage on the ground.

STL @ GB - GB. Green Bay is 5-0 and St. Louis is 0-4. Do I really need to explain?

PHI @ WAS - PHI. This is always a great divisional rivalry. I never would have thought at the beginning of the season that Washington would have a better record than Philadelphia at this point in the season. However, even with all the struggling that the Eagles have had to endure, I'm still picking them this week to win. It's just the safer bet. Washington just isn't producing enough points week to week for me to pick them against a team that's moments away from a break out game. With the Redskins putting up 16 and 17 points in their last couple games, I'd expect the Eagles to be in at least the 30s by the fourth quarter. It will be up to Washington to play catch up at that point.

CLE @ OAK - CLE. After a heart warming and highly emotional win against Denver last week, it's time to come back down to reality for Oakland. This week was the funeral for ex-owner Al Davis. Unfortunately for most professional teams, distractions (whether they be good or bad) usually hurt a team in the near future. With a healthy Peyton Hillis coming back and a well rested Browns team coming off their bye week, expect Cleveland to come out strong.

HOU @ BAL - BAL. Andre Johnson's out? No worries, they have Derrick Mason now! Sorry Houston, but Mason and Arian Foster won't be enough to out score the Baltimore Ravens, who are also coming off a bye. Schaub is still hurt and if he's hit even the slightest, might be sitting on the bench before half time. Look for Foster to take on a good part of the work load this week but it won't be enough to outscore the likes of Flacco and Rice.

NO @ TB - NO. After losing the first game of the season, the Saints have just been on a roll scoring big and racking up yardage. Brees will most likely surpass 2,000 yards this week. I see no reason for them not to keep up their winning ways until their facing a worthy opponent.

DAL @ NE - DAL. Don't adjust your screen. Yes, I, Paul Snyder am picking the Patriots to lose this week. I know it's shocking considering I always feel they can win every week and usually make my case why, but this week looks challenging. Romo has both of his top tier receivers available, and their facing one of the worst pass secondaries in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Cowboy's pass rush isn't terrible and should be able to put pressure on Brady, which never bodes well for New England. It will definitely be a high scoring game, but much simpler for the Cowboys when it comes to putting points on the board.

MIN @ CHI - CHI. Chicago is coming off a tough loss against Detroit and Minnesota is trying work off of their first win of the season. Sadly for the Vikings, they beat Arizona, which isn't much of an accomplishment. I'd pick da Bears to bounce back in this potentially easy match up.

MIA @ NYJ - NYJ. As much as it hurts me to make the pick, I'm going to have to go with the Jets this week. Without a solid quarterback and running back in Miami, how can you expect the Dolphins to keep up with the Jets that are determined to prove fans wrong. Evening their record is the only thing on their minds this week and it's going to happen.

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